Biggest News of Super Tuesday

Rep. Dennis Kucinich (D-OH)

Forget how many delegates this or that Republican presidential candidate got.

The most important political result from Super Tuesday was that 15-year Democratic Congressmen and two-time presidential candidate, Dennis Kucinich (D-OH), lost his bid for another term in the U.S. House of Representatives.

It is big news for two reasons:

  • It shows the widening cracks in the Democratic Party’s armor
  • It shows the rising power of Republicans almost everywhere

The Democrat’s bright spot is the presidency. Holding it shouldn’t be a problem. Republican’s can’t seem to get their presidential act together.

The Achilles’ heal of the Democratic Party, though, isn’t with the Presidential election; it is with the U.S. Congress and in state, county and municipal offices.

The U.S. Congress

Nobody – and I mean NOBODY – likes Congress. Congress would lose a popularity contest to Satan himself. However, the Congress makes up 1/3rd of the government of the United States. Someone has to fill those 535 seats and whoever does will wield great power to shape the national agenda.

Congress is like a “winner takes all” primary. Whichever party wins the majority runs the show. He who controls the agenda, controls everything.

Republicans won back the U.S. House in 2010 and are poised to win back the U.S. Senate in 2012.

The Kucinch loss is a poster child for problems facing Democrats this year.

Crumbling the Democratic Party

In 2008, Democrats were invincible!

They had the presidency, a super majority in the U.S. Senate and a huge majority in the U.S. House. They controlled 60% of state governorships and controlled the vast majority of state legislatures.

By 2010 that all changed. Republicans now have a strong majority in the U.S. House. The Democrat’s unbreakable super majority in the U.S. Senate shrank to a slim majority.

But the biggest changes of all were in Statehouses. Republicans now control nearly 60% of the governorships. Nationwide there was a swing of 625 seats to the Republican Party in state legislatures. CNN must have missed that stuff in their coverage.

It was the biggest slaughter in modern times.

The Kucinich Lesson

The Kucinich loss, more than anything yet so far, demonstrates the new found Republican power over Democrats that they gained in governorships and in state legislatures in 2010.

In Ohio in 2010, Republican John Kasich ousted Democratic incumbent governor Ted Strickland and Republicans took commanding two-thirds majorities in both houses of the state legislature. Ohio Democrats have to get a permission slip from the Republican leadership just to go to the bathroom.

Republicans used their new redistricting power to combine two Democratic held U.S. House districts into just one and pit Kucinich against another popular Democratic U.S. House Representative, Marcy Kaptur. Kucinich lost. Now he is out in the cold.

Nationally, most redistricting this year in state legislatures was controlled by newly elected Republicans and drawn to favor Republicans running for office.

The Great U.S. Congressional Shakeup of 2012

Long time Democrats have been dropping like flies in 2012. Most prominent among them is 16-term Congressmen Barney Frank. There are at least 17 Democrats not seeking reelection in the U.S. House this year.

That is a sure fire sign that individual Democrats believe they cannot retake the House and given up.

Though much ado has been made of the retirement of Republican Olympia Snowe from the U.S. Senate over political gridlock lately, Democrats are the ones in electoral trouble. Snowe’s defection is balanced by Democratic Senator Ben Nelson who isn’t running. He is infamous for the “Cornhusker Kickback” to buy his vote to pass Obamacare.

Democrats will be very hard pressed to cling onto their slim majority in the Senate.

The most U.S. Senators since 1996 have decide to pack it in, in 2012. Ten of them are Democrats and only three are Republicans. Far more Democrats are up for reelection this year than Republicans.

Conclusions

If Republicans have any brains, and that is a big “if”, they’d concentrate their efforts on winning Congressional races and shoring up their state and local government gains from 2010. At this point, its not looking good for Republicans to unseat President Obama.

Fortunately for them, Karl Rove is a savvy behind-the-scenes Republican strategist who pulls most of their election funding purse strings. He most certainly is aware of the situation. He is a smart guy.

While Democrats are preoccupied with a close presidential election, Republicans should point their howitzers strait at the Congress.

Should Republicans win both houses of Congress and followup on their 2010 victories in statehouses across the country, then that is better than winning the presidency.

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About azleader

Learning to see life more clearly... one image at a time!

Posted on Mar 7, 2012, in 2012 Elections, Democratic Party, Dennis Kucinich, Election, news, Opinion, Politics, President Obama, Republican Party. Bookmark the permalink. 3 Comments.

  1. The Democrats with Obama leadership made four very strategic mistakes in 2009. 1) the focus on the stimulus that was not big enough and improperly constructed by Reid and Pelosi; 2) the green agenda and green this and green that, wind mills and solar power and Chevy Volts forever; 3) ObamaCare; and 4) the modern Democrat Party selling its soul to Wall Street and not bringing proper oversight, reform or even putting crooks behind bars. Since Clinton the Dems were raking in big cash from Wall Street. Jeffersons and Jacksons would be puking. What this means is that they [Democrats] completely misunderstood how a bad financial panic would kill American jobs for the average person. People want jobs, and they are not there. So the public will turn to Republicans now. Neither the Democrat nor Republican parties represent the average American, and so every 2-6 years we will have changeovers, so neither side should get too drunk with the power.

    • All your four points are well thought out and stated.

      What you didn’t mention, nor did I in this article, is TARP or the Tea Party Movement.

      TARP “bailouts” are what started getting people upset in the first place. It, and ARRA, germinated the birth of the Tea Party tax revolt movement on April 15, 2009.

      The “stimulus” (ARRA), Obamacare (The Affordable Care Act), the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform Act and the failed Cap and Trade bill which passed in the House of Representatives were the primary legislative actions by Democrats that spelled their doom in 2010.

      Those things only strengthened the anti-spending, anti-government control Tea Party Movement into a powerful political force that was primarily responsible for the Republican landslide in 2010.

      The Tea Party Movement will cool off this year because of the gridlock we’ve suffered since 2010.

      Republicans will suffer some backlash from that. How much is up in the air. But I think there is enough momentum still remaining for Republicans to retain the House and still win the Senate… but not the presidency regardless of the economy or gasoline prices.

      For whatever reason, mainstream Republicans never embraced the Tea Party Movement… hence their dithering over a presidential candidate and Romney becoming the front runner.

  2. By your analysis, Obama wins in the Fall election.

    If memory serves me right, during a bad economy Carter got challenged by Kennedy in the primaries but held on. Through the Spring and Summer and even Fall, Carter held the Gallup Poll lead over Governor Reagan. But, then the tide switched fast in October, and Reagan won in a landslide.

    Eight months from now is a long way off. There is a chance the Republicans get it all

    The modern Democrat Party is a party of the “tell us what to do” elites. Just look at the examples you mention like Cap and Trade, ARRA, and TARP. The common folks are pandered to by the Democrats but once in power they only listen to their pointy headed elites which are completely out of touch with the rank and file working class. That is the Democrat’s Achilles heel.

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